PHI
5–2
BUF
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 8-8-2
5–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 8-9-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
21021418532
BUF
0801126225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
PHI 8-8-2 · BUF 8-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
Flyers beat the Sabres
The Flyers earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.5, and a 5–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 25 shots on goal.
PHI 3.4 xG · 32 shots
BUF 2.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyson Foerster · 1st 13:57 · 1–0 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (77%)
2
Travis Sanheim · 1st 16:01 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Egor Zamula · 2nd 02:08 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Travis Konecny · 2nd 17:07 · 4–0 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 10:06 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 18:55 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (70%)
7
Travis Konecny · 3rd 19:42 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 64.
PHI 64%BUF 36%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyson Foerster · 1st 13:57 · PP · 1–0
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (77%)
2
Travis Sanheim · 1st 16:01 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Egor Zamula · 2nd 02:08 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Travis Konecny · 2nd 17:07 · 4–0
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 10:06 · PP · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 18:55 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (70%)
7
Travis Konecny · 3rd 19:42 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
