PHI
2–3
COL
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 8-9-2
2–3
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 10-9-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
0805213226
COL
01029110329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 8-9-2 · COL 10-9-0 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.8 expected goals); the Flyers lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 26 and 29 shots on goal.
PHI 2.6 xG · 26 shots
COL 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 2nd 08:30 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Cale Makar · 2nd 15:08 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 08:34 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Owen Tippett · 3rd 11:48 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 13:32 · 2–3 · poke shot, a great chance (53%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 46.
PHI 46%COL 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 2nd 08:30 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Cale Makar · 2nd 15:08 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 08:34 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Owen Tippett · 3rd 11:48 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 13:32 · 2–3
Poke shot, a great chance (53%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
2
Casey Mittelstadt, Mikko Rantanen · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
