PHI
1–4
CAR
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 8-10-2
1–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
0111404119
CAR
110010317437
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
PHI 8-10-2 · CAR 14-4-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
Flyers fell to the Hurricanes
The Flyers were outchanced (3.3 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost 1–4. The Hurricanes owned the 3rd period, 1.5 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 37 and 19 shots on goal.
PHI 1.5 xG · 19 shots
CAR 3.3 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.2 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 00:30 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 02:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 01:03 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Jordan Staal · 3rd 06:02 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 06:57 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 20.
PHI 20%CAR 80%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 00:30 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 02:13 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 01:03 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Jordan Staal · 3rd 06:02 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 06:57 · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
