Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 12-11-3
5–7
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 16-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
010413111534
FLA
2721338728
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
PHI 12-11-3 · FLA 16-9-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
Flyers fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.9 expected goals); the Flyers lost 5–7. Reinhart's winner came with 1:59 left. Spencer Knight allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 28 shots on goal.
PHI 2.4 xG · 34 shots
FLA 2.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 1.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 02:36 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Niko Mikkola · 1st 06:57 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 03:00 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 07:13 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Nick Seeler · 2nd 09:31 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 13:35 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
7
Owen Tippett · 2nd 17:41 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Owen Tippett · 2nd 18:04 · 4–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 05:39 · 5–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
10
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 14:43 · 5–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
11
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 18:01 · 5–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
12
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:49 · 5–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 43.
PHI 43%FLA 57%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 02:36 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Niko Mikkola · 1st 06:57 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 03:00 · PP · 0–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 07:13 · PP · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Nick Seeler · 2nd 09:31 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 13:35 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
7
Owen Tippett · 2nd 17:41 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Owen Tippett · 2nd 18:04 · 4–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 05:39 · 5–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
10
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 14:43 · 5–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
11
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 18:01 · PP · GWG · 5–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
12
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:49 · EN · 5–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
5/7 saves · 2 GA · 0.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.