PHI
2–4
UTA
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 12-12-4
2–4
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 12-11-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
072908224
UTA
0123815425
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 12-12-4 · UTA 12-11-4 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Mammoth
The Flyers created the better chances (3.1 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Samuel Ersson allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 24 and 25 shots on goal.
PHI 3.1 xG · 24 shots
UTA 2.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.2
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Carcone · 2nd 07:01 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Joel Farabee · 2nd 07:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
Juuso Välimäki · 2nd 09:42 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 13:34 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Logan Cooley · 2nd 15:30 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 15:43 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 60.
PHI 60%UTA 40%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Carcone · 2nd 07:01 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Joel Farabee · 2nd 07:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
Juuso Välimäki · 2nd 09:42 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 13:34 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Logan Cooley · 2nd 15:30 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 15:43 · SH · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
