Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 14-12-4
4–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 11-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
01211737436
DET
0707112126
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
PHI 14-12-4 · DET 11-14-4 · First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
Flyers beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.1 expected goals); the Flyers won 4–1. Aleksei Kolosov stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 36 and 26 shots on goal.
PHI 2.2 xG · 36 shots
DET 2.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Scott Laughton · 2nd 13:22 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Scott Laughton · 3rd 01:31 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Ben Chiarot · 3rd 16:07 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Scott Laughton · 3rd 18:53 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Scott Laughton · 3rd 19:47 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 52.
PHI 52%DET 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Scott Laughton · 2nd 13:22 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Scott Laughton · 3rd 01:31 · SH · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Ben Chiarot · 3rd 16:07 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Scott Laughton · 3rd 18:53 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Scott Laughton · 3rd 19:47 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.