Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 17-20-5
1–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 26-13-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
0908111128
DAL
291915423
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 17-20-5 · DAL 26-13-1 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.3 expected goals); the Flyers lost 1–4. Casey DeSmith stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 28 and 23 shots on goal.
PHI 2.2 xG · 28 shots
DAL 2.3 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 01:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Roope Hintz · 1st 09:38 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 08:41 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Morgan Frost · 3rd 06:47 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 16:47 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 48.
PHI 48%DAL 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 01:45 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Roope Hintz · 1st 09:38 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 08:41 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Morgan Frost · 3rd 06:47 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 16:47 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Evgenii Dadonov, Jason Robertson · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.