PHI
4–3
FLA
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 19-20-5
4–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 25-16-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
0711438429
FLA
2706110323
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
PHI 19-20-5 · FLA 25-16-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
Flyers beat the Panthers
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Flyers erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Frost's equalizer — and won 4–3. Samuel Ersson allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.6, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
PHI 3.0 xG · 29 shots
FLA 1.6 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.3
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 07:59 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Uvis Balinskis · 1st 09:34 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 07:51 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Noah Cates · 3rd 02:01 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 03:35 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Morgan Frost · 3rd 05:59 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Noah Cates · 3rd 14:09 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 74.
PHI 74%FLA 26%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 07:59 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Uvis Balinskis · 1st 09:34 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 07:51 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Noah Cates · 3rd 02:01 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 03:35 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Morgan Frost · 3rd 05:59 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Noah Cates · 3rd 14:09 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
