PHI
3–4
WSH
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 23-26-7
3–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 36-11-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
172609322
WSH
171427418
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–3
PHI 23-26-7 · WSH 36-11-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–3
Flyers fell to the Capitals
The Flyers created the better chances (3.3 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Ivan Fedotov allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 22 and 18 shots on goal.
PHI 3.3 xG · 22 shots
WSH 1.5 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matvei Michkov · 1st 17:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 19:07 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Connor McMichael · 2nd 04:17 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 07:23 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 11:19 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Lars Eller · 3rd 06:23 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 12:05 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 80.
PHI 80%WSH 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matvei Michkov · 1st 17:31 · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 19:07 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Connor McMichael · 2nd 04:17 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 07:23 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 11:19 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Lars Eller · 3rd 06:23 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 12:05 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
