Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 24-26-7
3–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 23-25-9
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
1217111320
PIT
010111112233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 24-26-7 · PIT 23-25-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers beat the Penguins
The Flyers were outchanced (4.5 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Samuel Ersson stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 33 and 20 shots on goal.
PHI 1.9 xG · 20 shots
PIT 4.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.2 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 2.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Scott Laughton · 1st 01:44 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 04:19 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 12:26 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Travis Konecny · 3rd 04:27 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 05:42 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (40%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 15.
PHI 15%PIT 85%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Scott Laughton · 1st 01:44 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 04:19 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 12:26 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Travis Konecny · 3rd 04:27 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 05:42 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (40%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Unassisted · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.