Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-26-7
6–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 34-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
19413110632
EDM
281703318
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 25-26-7 · EDM 34-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers beat the Oilers
The Flyers earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 32 and 18 shots on goal.
PHI 3.4 xG · 32 shots
EDM 2.9 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matvei Michkov · 1st 02:07 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
John Klingberg · 1st 07:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 09:31 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 01:45 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Sean Couturier · 2nd 07:13 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 08:34 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Owen Tippett · 2nd 12:26 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
8
Andrei Kuzmenko · 2nd 15:37 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Rasmus Ristolainen · 3rd 17:01 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 58.
PHI 58%EDM 42%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matvei Michkov · 1st 02:07 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
John Klingberg · 1st 07:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 09:31 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 01:45 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Sean Couturier · 2nd 07:13 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 08:34 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Owen Tippett · 2nd 12:26 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
8
Andrei Kuzmenko · 2nd 15:37 · PP · 5–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Rasmus Ristolainen · 3rd 17:01 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.