Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 28-31-8
4–3
Final / SOW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 37-23-5
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
PHI
1928011011429
TBL
171715010320
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–0
PHI 28-31-8 · TBL 37-23-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–0
Flyers beat the Lightning
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Flyers won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 20 shots on goal.
PHI 2.8 xG · 29 shots
TBL 2.6 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
OT
0.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gage Goncalves · 1st 08:29 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Bobby Brink · 1st 14:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 00:15 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Bobby Brink · 2nd 10:55 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 19:01 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 03:50 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 53.
PHI 53%TBL 47%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gage Goncalves · 1st 08:29 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Bobby Brink · 1st 14:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 00:15 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Bobby Brink · 2nd 10:55 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 19:01 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 03:50 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Flyers
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.