PHI
7–4
BUF
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 30-36-9
7–4
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 30-36-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
21228312732
BUF
162718421
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–0
PHI 30-36-9 · BUF 30-36-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–0
Flyers beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.6 to 3.0 expected goals); the Flyers won 7–4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 4.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 32 and 21 shots on goal.
PHI 2.6 xG · 32 shots
BUF 3.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matvei Michkov · 1st 05:27 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 05:56 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jack Quinn · 1st 10:57 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 01:41 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Jack Quinn · 2nd 08:13 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 10:36 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Noah Cates · 2nd 14:11 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 06:39 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 10:13 · 6–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Alex Tuch · 3rd 15:05 · 6–4 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
11
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 15:34 · 7–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 44.
PHI 44%BUF 56%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matvei Michkov · 1st 05:27 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 05:56 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jack Quinn · 1st 10:57 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 01:41 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Jack Quinn · 2nd 08:13 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 10:36 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Noah Cates · 2nd 14:11 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 06:39 · PP · GWG · 5–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 10:13 · 6–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Alex Tuch · 3rd 15:05 · SH · 6–4
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
11
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 15:34 · PP · 7–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/32 saves · 7 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 4.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
