Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 6-3-1
4–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 4-6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
032827418
NSH
01011409133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
PHI 6-3-1 · NSH 4-6-2 · First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
Flyers beat the Predators
The Flyers were outchanced (3.3 to 1.3 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Dan Vladar stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.3, on 33 and 18 shots on goal.
PHI 1.3 xG · 18 shots
NSH 3.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 12:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jamie Drysdale · 2nd 15:41 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Wood · 2nd 18:03 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 07:00 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 15:54 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 17.
PHI 17%NSH 83%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 12:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jamie Drysdale · 2nd 15:41 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Wood · 2nd 18:03 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 07:00 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 15:54 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:54
Jamie Drysdale· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:57
Bobby Brink· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:57
Nicolas Hague· Hooking
Zegras scored on this power play
Minor
4
Cam York, Noah Cates · Power play (Hague, hooking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:17
Erik Haula· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:17
Noah Cates· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flyers went 1-for-1 on the power play and killed all 2 Predators power plays.