Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 15-8-3
5–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
311212012535
BUF
14114011229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
PHI 15-8-3 · BUF 11-12-4 · First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
Flyers beat the Sabres
The Flyers earned it: 5.1 expected goals to 3.4, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Samuel Ersson stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 5.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
PHI 5.1 xG · 35 shots
BUF 3.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
2.0 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 04:08 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Travis Konecny · 1st 08:26 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Trevor Zegras · 1st 09:04 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bobby Brink · 1st 09:25 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Noah Cates · 2nd 01:45 · 4–1 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Bowen Byram · 2nd 11:48 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Owen Tippett · 2nd 12:43 · 5–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 71.
PHI 71%BUF 29%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 14 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 04:08 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Travis Konecny · 1st 08:26 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Trevor Zegras · 1st 09:04 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bobby Brink · 1st 09:25 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Noah Cates · 2nd 01:45 · 4–1
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Bowen Byram · 2nd 11:48 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Owen Tippett · 2nd 12:43 · 5–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:20
Cam York· Delaying game puck over glass
Zucker scored on this power play
Minor
1
Josh Doan, Josh Norris · Power play (York, delaying game puck over glass) · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:38
Matvei Michkov· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:30
Tage Thompson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:46
Conor Timmins· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2
Matvei Michkov, Travis Sanheim · Power play (delaying game unsuccessful challenge) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
08:26
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Konecny scored on this power play
Bench minor
3
Travis Sanheim, Travis Konecny · Power play (delaying game unsuccessful challenge) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:19
Rodrigo Abols· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:40
Peyton Krebs· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:24
Nicolas Deslauriers· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:24
Garnet Hathaway· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:24
Josh Dunne· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
16:50
Rasmus Dahlin· Boarding
Killed
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
16:50
Rasmus Dahlin· Game
Misconduct
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:46
Travis Sanheim· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:21
Matvei Michkov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 5.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flyers went 2-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Sabres power plays.