Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 15-9-3
2–3
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 21-2-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
1319013225
COL
21211303328
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 15-9-3 · COL 21-2-6 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.3 expected goals); the Flyers lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 25 and 28 shots on goal.
PHI 2.5 xG · 25 shots
COL 2.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sean Couturier · 1st 02:09 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brent Burns · 1st 08:28 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 19:08 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 01:47 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 2nd 05:58 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 53.
PHI 53%COL 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sean Couturier · 1st 02:09 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brent Burns · 1st 08:28 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 19:08 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 01:47 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 2nd 05:58 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:25
Noah Juulsen· Tripping
Nelson scored on this power play
Minor
3
Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar · Power play (Juulsen, tripping) · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
1–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:45
Trevor Zegras· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:52
Martin Necas· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
04:54
Nathan MacKinnon· Ps holding on breakaway
Penalty shot
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flyers went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Avalanche power plays.