Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 16-9-5
3–4
Final / SOL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 20-9-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
PHI
270912000318
CAR
052816021421
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
PHI 16-9-5 · CAR 20-9-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
Flyers fell to the Hurricanes
The Flyers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Hurricanes came back with three unanswered goals — Nikishin's equalizer — and won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 21 and 18 shots on goal.
PHI 2.1 xG · 18 shots
CAR 3.2 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.3 · 0.9
OT
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby Brink · 1st 10:04 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Trevor Zegras · 1st 17:34 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 09:11 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Alexander Nikishin · 2nd 14:12 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 12:26 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Carl Grundstrom · 3rd 12:49 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 32.
PHI 32%CAR 68%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 2 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby Brink · 1st 10:04 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Trevor Zegras · 1st 17:34 · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 09:11 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Alexander Nikishin · 2nd 14:12 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 12:26 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Carl Grundstrom · 3rd 12:49 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:57
Matvei Michkov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:54
Trevor Zegras· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Shootout
1
Trevor Zegras
Miss
2
Seth Jarvis
Save
3
Matvei Michkov
Miss
4
Andrei Svechnikov
Miss
5
Travis Konecny
Save
6
Sebastian Aho
Miss
7
Bobby Brink
Save
8
Jackson Blake
Goal
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flyers killed all 2 Hurricanes power plays.