PHI 2–7 TBL Final · L
Flyers/Schedule/Recap Sat, Jan 10, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 22-13-8
2–7
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 27-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT PHI 180814220 TBL 271848723 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
PHI 22-13-8 · TBL 27-13-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2

Flyers fell to the Lightning

The Flyers were outchanced (3.2 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost 2–7. Samuel Ersson allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.

Who had the better chances

The Lightning created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 23 and 20 shots on goal.

PHI 2.1 xG · 20 shots TBL 3.2 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 1.3 · 0.9
2nd 0.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing 0.3 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 32.
PHI 32%TBL 68%

Goals and penalties

9 goals · 6 penalties
← Flyers shoot this way Lightning shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
Brayden Point · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
0–1
2
Noah Juulsen, Rodrigo Abols · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
3
Brayden Point, Charle-Edouard D'Astous · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
PEN
08:00 Garnet Hathaway· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
08:00 Declan Carlile· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
13:13 Brandon Hagel· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:55 Cam York· Cross-checking
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
4
13:37 Nick Paul GWG
Charle-Edouard D'Astous, Anthony Cirelli · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
1–3
3rd period
5
Nikita Kucherov, Darren Raddysh · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
1–4
6
Jake Guentzel, Anthony Cirelli · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1–5
PEN
04:13 Gage Goncalves· High-sticking
Tippett scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
7
04:45 Owen Tippett PP
Christian Dvorak · Power play (Goncalves, high-sticking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–5
8
09:00 Yanni Gourde
Zemgus Girgensons · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2–6
9
Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2–7
PEN
12:53 Garnet Hathaway· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
Goaltending
−3.8
vs expected
16/23 saves · 7 GA · 3.2 xGA Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
+0.1
vs expected
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team PHITBL
Shots on goal
20
23
Expected goals
2.1
3.2
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
37%
63%
Power play
1/2
0/2
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Flyers went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Lightning power plays.