Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 22-13-8
2–7
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 27-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
180814220
TBL
271848723
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
PHI 22-13-8 · TBL 27-13-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
Flyers fell to the Lightning
The Flyers were outchanced (3.2 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost 2–7. Samuel Ersson allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 23 and 20 shots on goal.
PHI 2.1 xG · 20 shots
TBL 3.2 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:49 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Garnet Hathaway · 1st 04:15 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:05 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nick Paul · 2nd 13:37 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
5
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 02:03 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 03:37 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Owen Tippett · 3rd 04:45 · 2–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 09:00 · 2–6 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 11:00 · 2–7 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 32.
PHI 32%TBL 68%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:49 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Garnet Hathaway · 1st 04:15 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:05 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nick Paul · 2nd 13:37 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
5
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 02:03 · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 03:37 · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Owen Tippett · 3rd 04:45 · PP · 2–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 09:00 · 2–6
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 11:00 · 2–7
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
3
Brayden Point, Charle-Edouard D'Astous · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
PEN
5 min
Major
08:00
Garnet Hathaway· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
08:00
Declan Carlile· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:13
Brandon Hagel· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:55
Cam York· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:13
Gage Goncalves· High-sticking
Tippett scored on this power play
Minor
7
Christian Dvorak · Power play (Goncalves, high-sticking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–5
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:53
Garnet Hathaway· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
16/23 saves · 7 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flyers went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Lightning power plays.