PHI
3–2
CAR
Final / SO · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 42-27-12
3–2
Final / SOW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 52-22-7
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
PHI
072609011323
CAR
260809030226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–3
PHI 42-27-12 · CAR 52-22-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–3
Flyers beat the Hurricanes
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Flyers erased the deficit with two unanswered goals — Zegras's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Brandon Bussi stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.6, on 23 and 26 shots on goal.
PHI 3.2 xG · 23 shots
CAR 1.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 0.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bradly Nadeau · 1st 08:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 15:30 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 07:57 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 10:30 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 78.
PHI 78%CAR 22%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 3 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bradly Nadeau · 1st 08:41 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 15:30 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 07:57 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 10:30 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:05
Christian Dvorak· Holding
Christian Dvorak· Holding
Ehlers scored on this power play
Minor
2
Logan Stankoven, Jackson Blake · Power play (Dvorak, holding) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:43
Sean Walker· Roughing
Sean Walker· Roughing
Zegras scored on this power play
Minor
4
Porter Martone, Tyson Foerster · Power play (Walker, roughing) · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
2–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:38
Nikolaj Ehlers· Slashing
Nikolaj Ehlers· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Trevor Zegras
Save
Trevor Zegras
Save2
Jackson Blake
Save
Jackson Blake
Save3
Matvei Michkov
Save
Matvei Michkov
Save4
Bradly Nadeau
Save
Bradly Nadeau
Save5
Travis Konecny
Save
Travis Konecny
Save6
K'Andre Miller
Miss
K'Andre Miller
Miss7
Tyson Foerster
Goal
Tyson Foerster
Goal8
Alexander Nikishin
Save
Alexander Nikishin
Save
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Flyers went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Hurricanes power play.