Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 3-0
5–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 0-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
01031524529
PIT
11007112229
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Flyers lead the series 3–0
PHI 3-0 · PIT 0-3 · Game 3 — the Flyers lead the series 3–0
Flyers beat the Penguins
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.3 expected goals); the Flyers won 5–2. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 29 shots on goal.
PHI 2.1 xG · 29 shots
PIT 2.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
1.2 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 04:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 05:18 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Rasmus Ristolainen · 2nd 09:06 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Nick Seeler · 2nd 11:18 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 09:39 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Noah Cates · 3rd 12:30 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Owen Tippett · 3rd 18:48 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 47.
PHI 47%PIT 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 25 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 04:18 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 05:18 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Rasmus Ristolainen · 2nd 09:06 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Nick Seeler · 2nd 11:18 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 09:39 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Noah Cates · 3rd 12:30 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Owen Tippett · 3rd 18:48 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:21
Sean Couturier· Tripping
Malkin scored on this power play
Minor
1
Bryan Rust, Sidney Crosby · Power play (Couturier, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:47
Garnet Hathaway· High-sticking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:47
Sidney Crosby· Embellishment
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:39
Travis Konecny· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:39
Kris Letang· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:20
Erik Karlsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Bryan Rust· Roughing
Zegras scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Cam York· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Samuel Girard· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Travis Sanheim· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Erik Karlsson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Ryan Shea· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Christian Dvorak· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Travis Konecny· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Bryan Rust· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Matvei Michkov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Connor Dewar· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:34
Nick Seeler· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Evgeni Malkin· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Matvei Michkov· Embellishment
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:11
Tyson Foerster· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:12
Matvei Michkov· Roughing
Karlsson scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:12
Anthony Mantha· Delaying game puck over glass
Cates scored on this power play
Minor
6
Trevor Zegras, Jamie Drysdale · Power play (Mantha, delaying game puck over glass) · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:28
Sean Couturier· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Porter Martone· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flyers went 2-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 6 Penguins power plays.