Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 3-1
2–4
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 1-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
09110111230
PIT
161927422
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Flyers lead the series 3–1
PHI 3-1 · PIT 1-3 · Game 4 — the Flyers lead the series 3–1
Flyers fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (2.0 to 1.8 expected goals); the Flyers lost 2–4. Dan Vladar allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 30 and 22 shots on goal.
PHI 2.0 xG · 30 shots
PIT 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 14:24 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 01:03 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Denver Barkey · 2nd 15:40 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Kris Letang · 3rd 04:27 · 1–3 · slap shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 07:03 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Connor Dewar · 3rd 19:03 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 54.
PHI 54%PIT 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 14:24 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 01:03 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Denver Barkey · 2nd 15:40 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Kris Letang · 3rd 04:27 · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 07:03 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Connor Dewar · 3rd 19:03 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:52
Anthony Mantha· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:19
Denver Barkey· High-sticking
Crosby scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:12
Blake Lizotte· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
2
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:59
Garnet Hathaway· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
05:31
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:48
Luke Glendening· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:45
Garnet Hathaway· Elbowing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:45
Erik Karlsson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
20:00
Trevor Zegras· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Flyers went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Penguins power plays.