PHI
2–3
CAR
Final / OT · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 4-6
2–3
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PHI
15041602217
CAR
0811511314340
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Flyers trail the series 0–4
PHI 4-6 · CAR 8-0 · Game 4 — the Flyers trail the series 0–4
Flyers fell to the Hurricanes
The Flyers were outchanced (3.0 to 1.6 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Blake's goal. Dan Vladar stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.6, on 40 and 17 shots on goal.
PHI 1.6 xG · 17 shots
CAR 3.0 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
OT
0.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyson Foerster · 1st 07:50 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Jackson Blake · 2nd 12:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 04:13 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Alex Bump · 3rd 05:52 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Jackson Blake · OT 05:31 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 27.
PHI 27%CAR 73%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyson Foerster · 1st 07:50 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Jackson Blake · 2nd 12:35 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 04:13 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Alex Bump · 3rd 05:52 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Jackson Blake · OT 05:31 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:32
Porter Martone· Hooking
Porter Martone· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:26
Jordan Martinook· Interference
Jordan Martinook· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:16
Sean Couturier· Hooking
Sean Couturier· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:22
Jordan Staal· Tripping
Jordan Staal· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:42
Sebastian Aho· Hooking
Sebastian Aho· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:20
Rasmus Ristolainen· Interference
Rasmus Ristolainen· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Overtime
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flyers went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Hurricanes power plays.