PIT
7–4
NYR
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 2-1
7–4
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
41507315737
NYR
11031709436
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Penguins lead the series 2–1
PIT 2-1 · NYR 1-2 · Game 3 — the Penguins lead the series 2–1
Penguins beat the Rangers
The Penguins were outchanced (4.1 to 3.6 expected goals) but won 7–4 anyway. Igor Shesterkin allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.6, on 36 and 37 shots on goal.
PIT 3.6 xG · 37 shots
NYR 4.1 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 1.9
3rd
1.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock McGinn · 1st 01:57 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Kaapo Kakko · 1st 05:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jeff Carter · 1st 08:18 · 2–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 10:31 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 15:15 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 06:51 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 07:58 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Copp · 2nd 15:59 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
9
Danton Heinen · 3rd 11:02 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 17:46 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Jeff Carter · 3rd 18:53 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 42.
PIT 42%NYR 58%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock McGinn · 1st 01:57 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Kaapo Kakko · 1st 05:08 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jeff Carter · 1st 08:18 · PP · 2–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 10:31 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 15:15 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 06:51 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 07:58 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Copp · 2nd 15:59 · SH · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
9
Danton Heinen · 3rd 11:02 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 17:46 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Jeff Carter · 3rd 18:53 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
9
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5–4
No penalties
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
