Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 2-0-0
6–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 1-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
112117416645
TBL
11009117236
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 2-0-0 · TBL 1-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Lightning
The Penguins earned it: 5.5 expected goals to 2.4, and a 6–2 win to show for it. The Penguins owned the 2nd period, 2.5 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 5.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 45 and 36 shots on goal.
PIT 5.5 xG · 45 shots
TBL 2.4 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.7 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
2.5 · 0.4
3rd
1.3 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 04:10 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 17:00 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Danton Heinen · 2nd 04:11 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 02:28 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jeff Carter · 3rd 03:50 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 13:31 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 14:03 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 15:55 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 87.
PIT 87%TBL 13%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 04:10 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 17:00 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Danton Heinen · 2nd 04:11 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 02:28 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jeff Carter · 3rd 03:50 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 13:31 · PP · 5–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 14:03 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 15:55 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Kasperi Kapanen, Pierre-Olivier Joseph · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–1
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/44 saves · 5 GA · 5.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.