PIT
2–5
TOR
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 6-7-3
2–5
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 9-5-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
07215015237
TOR
28212113533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 6-7-3 · TOR 9-5-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.4 expected goals); the Penguins lost 2–5. Matt Murray stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.4, on 37 and 33 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 37 shots
TOR 3.4 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.2
3rd
1.4 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 12:04 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 15:04 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 00:11 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 00:54 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 02:38 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Michael Bunting · 2nd 19:10 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
William Nylander · 3rd 17:37 · 2–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 50.
PIT 50%TOR 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 12:04 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 15:04 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 00:11 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 00:54 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 02:38 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Michael Bunting · 2nd 19:10 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
William Nylander · 3rd 17:37 · EN · 2–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
