Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 16-8-4
3–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 12-14-2
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
21201019331
BUF
09012117138
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
PIT 16-8-4 · BUF 12-14-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
Penguins beat the Sabres
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.3 expected goals); the Penguins won 3–1. Casey DeSmith stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.3, on 31 and 38 shots on goal.
PIT 3.5 xG · 31 shots
BUF 3.3 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.8 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 04:22 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 06:51 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 11:00 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 18:22 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 54.
PIT 54%BUF 46%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 04:22 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 06:51 · GWG · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 11:00 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 18:22 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.