PIT
2–1
DAL
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 17-8-4
2–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 16-8-5
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
1110915225
DAL
1120708127
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 17-8-4 · DAL 16-8-5 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Stars
Chances were even (1.5 to 1.6 expected goals); the Penguins won 2–1. Malkin's winner came with 0:35 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.5 expected goals to 1.6, on 25 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 1.5 xG · 25 shots
DAL 1.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
0.3 · 0.6
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 00:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Pierre-Olivier Joseph · 1st 13:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 19:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 48.
PIT 48%DAL 52%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 00:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Pierre-Olivier Joseph · 1st 13:14 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 19:25 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
