Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 19-11-6
2–4
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 23-11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
1611209227
NJD
0113819428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 19-11-6 · NJD 23-11-2 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Devils
The Penguins created the better chances (3.3 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Vitek Vanecek stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
PIT 3.3 xG · 27 shots
NJD 2.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 14:26 · 1–0 · snap shot off the rush, a great chance (34%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 06:18 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jeff Carter · 2nd 12:30 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 17:37 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nico Hischier · 2nd 19:22 · 2–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
6
Jack Hughes · 3rd 19:55 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 60.
PIT 60%NJD 40%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 14:26 · 1–0
Snap shot off the rush, a great chance (34%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 06:18 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jeff Carter · 2nd 12:30 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 17:37 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nico Hischier · 2nd 19:22 · SH · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
6
Jack Hughes · 3rd 19:55 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.