Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 21-14-6
1–4
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 28-14-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
180807123
WPG
115214111440
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 21-14-6 · WPG 28-14-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins fell to the Jets
The Penguins were outchanced (3.1 to 1.3 expected goals) and lost 1–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.3, on 40 and 23 shots on goal.
PIT 1.3 xG · 23 shots
WPG 3.1 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Blake Wheeler · 1st 11:19 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
2
Drew O'Connor · 1st 16:42 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 17:58 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 18:20 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 06:39 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 20.
PIT 20%WPG 80%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Blake Wheeler · 1st 11:19 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
2
Drew O'Connor · 1st 16:42 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 17:58 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 18:20 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 06:39 · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.