PIT
4–3
ANA
Final / OT · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 22-15-6
4–3
Final / OTW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 12-27-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
11211711511445
ANA
115092401329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 22-15-6 · ANA 12-27-5 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Ducks
The Penguins earned it: 5.4 expected goals to 2.9, and they won it in overtime on Guentzel's goal. John Gibson stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 5.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 45 and 29 shots on goal.
PIT 5.4 xG · 45 shots
ANA 2.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.0 · 1.6
2nd
1.9 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
2.2 · 0.6
OT
0.3 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 04:16 · 1–0 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 17:50 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 08:46 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
4
John Klingberg · 3rd 11:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 15:40 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:35 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Jake Guentzel · OT 00:33 · 4–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 80.
PIT 80%ANA 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 04:16 · 1–0
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 17:50 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 08:46 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
4
John Klingberg · 3rd 11:16 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 15:40 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Jake Guentzel · OT 00:33 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (31%)
1st period
1
Evgeni Malkin, Rickard Rakell · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
41/45 saves · 4 GA · 5.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
