PIT
4–1
OTT
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 23-15-7
4–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 20-22-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
214118112444
OTT
012114019145
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 23-15-7 · OTT 20-22-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins beat the Senators
Chances were even (3.6 to 4.1 expected goals); the Penguins won 4–1. Tristan Jarry stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 4.1, on 44 and 45 shots on goal.
PIT 3.6 xG · 44 shots
OTT 4.1 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
1.3 · 1.5
3rd
1.1 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 11:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Jason Zucker · 1st 11:57 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 17:12 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 18:55 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 06:13 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 44.
PIT 44%OTT 56%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 11:14 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Jason Zucker · 1st 11:57 · GWG · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 17:12 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 18:55 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 06:13 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
44/45 saves · 1 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
40/44 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
