Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 25-16-9
2–1
Final / OTW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 27-18-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
0601011814238
COL
01311601003142
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 25-16-9 · COL 27-18-4 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.7 to 3.9 expected goals); the Penguins won it in overtime on Letang's goal. Casey DeSmith stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.7 expected goals to 3.9, on 38 and 42 shots on goal.
PIT 3.7 xG · 38 shots
COL 3.9 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
OT
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 10:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Bryan Rust · 3rd 16:22 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Kris Letang · OT 03:36 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 48.
PIT 48%COL 52%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 10:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Bryan Rust · 3rd 16:22 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Kris Letang · OT 03:36 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
41/42 saves · 1 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.