PIT
2–4
NYI
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 27-20-9
2–4
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 29-24-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
11911809246
NYI
0711738432
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–3
PIT 27-20-9 · NYI 29-24-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–3
Penguins fell to the Islanders
The Penguins created the better chances (4.4 to 3.0 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Ilya Sorokin stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.0, on 46 and 32 shots on goal.
PIT 4.4 xG · 46 shots
NYI 3.0 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.4
2nd
1.7 · 1.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Guentzel · 1st 06:12 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 05:19 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 12:26 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Bo Horvat · 3rd 08:34 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 3rd 10:15 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 19:35 · 2–4 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 69.
PIT 69%NYI 31%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Guentzel · 1st 06:12 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 05:19 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 12:26 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Bo Horvat · 3rd 08:34 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 3rd 10:15 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 19:35 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
44/46 saves · 2 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
