PIT
3–4
NYI
Final / OT · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 32-22-10
3–4
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 34-25-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
21311101002336
NYI
170621312428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–4
PIT 32-22-10 · NYI 34-25-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–4
Penguins fell to the Islanders
The Penguins let a 3–1 lead get away: the Islanders came back with three unanswered goals — Lee's equalizer with 1:15 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Nelson's goal. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 36 and 28 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 36 shots
NYI 2.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.4
OT
0.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anders Lee · 1st 05:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 11:07 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jason Zucker · 1st 18:24 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Josh Archibald · 2nd 10:49 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
· 3rd 14:31 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Anders Lee · 3rd 18:45 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brock Nelson · OT 02:13 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 57.
PIT 57%NYI 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anders Lee · 1st 05:23 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 11:07 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jason Zucker · 1st 18:24 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Josh Archibald · 2nd 10:49 · 3–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
· 3rd 14:31 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Anders Lee · 3rd 18:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brock Nelson · OT 02:13 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2
Marcus Pettersson, Sidney Crosby · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
