Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 33-22-10
5–1
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 24-31-11
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
16115311532
PHI
11407011132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–0
PIT 33-22-10 · PHI 24-31-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–0
Penguins beat the Flyers
The Penguins earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Carter Hart allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 32 and 32 shots on goal.
PIT 2.8 xG · 32 shots
PHI 2.1 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
3rd
0.8 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 05:52 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Kieffer Bellows · 1st 10:04 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 06:49 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jason Zucker · 3rd 14:24 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 18:22 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 19:04 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 63.
PIT 63%PHI 37%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 05:52 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Kieffer Bellows · 1st 10:04 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 06:49 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jason Zucker · 3rd 14:24 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 18:22 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 19:04 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.