Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 34-26-10
1–2
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 34-31-5
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
018014117149
OTT
170618221
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
PIT 34-26-10 · OTT 34-31-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
Penguins fell to the Senators
The Penguins created the better chances (3.9 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 1–2. Batherson's winner came with 2:09 left. Dylan Ferguson stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.8, on 49 and 21 shots on goal.
PIT 3.9 xG · 49 shots
OTT 1.8 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd
1.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Thomas Chabot · 1st 16:46 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 14:39 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Drake Batherson · 3rd 17:51 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 80.
PIT 80%OTT 20%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Thomas Chabot · 1st 16:46 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 14:39 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Drake Batherson · 3rd 17:51 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
48/49 saves · 1 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.