PIT
3–4
BOS
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 37-29-10
3–4
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 59-12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
1401228324
BOS
112112211435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–3
PIT 37-29-10 · BOS 59-12-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–3
Penguins fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.0 expected goals); the Penguins lost 3–4. Pastrnak's winner came with 2:26 left. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 24 and 35 shots on goal.
PIT 3.3 xG · 24 shots
BOS 3.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 06:20 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 07:33 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 01:41 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 04:09 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
David Pastrnak · 3rd 07:07 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 12:30 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
David Pastrnak · 3rd 17:34 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 54.
PIT 54%BOS 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 06:20 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 07:33 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 01:41 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 04:09 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
David Pastrnak · 3rd 07:07 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 12:30 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
David Pastrnak · 3rd 17:34 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
