Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 38-29-10
4–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 29-34-13
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
21511016431
PHI
07013213233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 3–0
PIT 38-29-10 · PHI 29-34-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 3–0
Penguins beat the Flyers
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.4 expected goals); the Penguins won 4–2. Casey DeSmith stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.4, on 31 and 33 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 31 shots
PHI 3.4 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.3 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 11:40 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 14:53 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 13:23 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Nicolas Deslauriers · 3rd 05:57 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 17:31 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 18:48 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 50.
PIT 50%PHI 50%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 11:40 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 14:53 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 13:23 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Nicolas Deslauriers · 3rd 05:57 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 17:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 18:48 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.