Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 40-31-10
2–5
FinalL
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 26-49-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
09016215240
CHI
0131648527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 40-31-10 · CHI 26-49-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins fell to the Blackhawks
The Penguins created the better chances (4.0 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Petr Mrazek stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.1, on 40 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 4.0 xG · 40 shots
CHI 2.1 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.8 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Murphy · 2nd 08:04 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 05:28 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Buddy Robinson · 3rd 10:22 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Andreas Athanasiou · 3rd 10:48 · 1–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
5
Tyler Johnson · 3rd 18:36 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Danton Heinen · 3rd 19:22 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
MacKenzie Entwistle · 3rd 19:37 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 78.
PIT 78%CHI 22%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Murphy · 2nd 08:04 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 05:28 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Buddy Robinson · 3rd 10:22 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Andreas Athanasiou · 3rd 10:48 · GWG · 1–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
5
Tyler Johnson · 3rd 18:36 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Danton Heinen · 3rd 19:22 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
MacKenzie Entwistle · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.