PIT
5–2
CGY
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 2-1-0
5–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
01105513529
CGY
015111110236
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 2-1-0 · CGY 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Flames
The Penguins earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Penguins owned the 1st period, 2.0 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 36 shots on goal.
PIT 3.8 xG · 29 shots
CGY 2.6 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.0 · 0.8
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Coronato · 2nd 18:22 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Bryan Rust · 3rd 00:18 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Reilly Smith · 3rd 00:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 05:50 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 14:14 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 16:05 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:38 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 68.
PIT 68%CGY 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Coronato · 2nd 18:22 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Bryan Rust · 3rd 00:18 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Reilly Smith · 3rd 00:41 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 05:50 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 14:14 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 16:05 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:38 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
6
Andrew Mangiapane, Noah Hanifin · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–2
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
