Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 3-4-0
4–0
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 6-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
2918112429
COL
05013013031
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 3-4-0 · COL 6-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.7 expected goals); the Penguins won 4–0. Tristan Jarry stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
PIT 2.4 xG · 29 shots
COL 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Reilly Smith · 1st 04:40 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Reilly Smith · 1st 16:51 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Lars Eller · 2nd 06:00 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 10:35 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 45.
PIT 45%COL 55%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Reilly Smith · 1st 04:40 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Reilly Smith · 1st 16:51 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Lars Eller · 2nd 06:00 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 10:35 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/31 saves · 0 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.