PIT
2–5
OTT
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 3-5-0
2–5
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
02319111243
OTT
2711029526
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 3-5-0 · OTT 4-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Senators
The Penguins created the better chances (3.7 to 3.1 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 43 and 26 shots on goal.
PIT 3.7 xG · 43 shots
OTT 3.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ridly Greig · 1st 04:24 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 14:14 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 05:28 · 0–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 17:34 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 13:07 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Drake Batherson · 3rd 13:38 · 1–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:26 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 60.
PIT 60%OTT 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ridly Greig · 1st 04:24 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 14:14 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 05:28 · GWG · 0–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 17:34 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 13:07 · 1–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Drake Batherson · 3rd 13:38 · 1–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:26 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
6/9 saves · 3 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
