Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 7-6-0
4–0
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
115113211439
BUF
014011010035
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 7-6-0 · BUF 7-7-1 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Sabres
The Penguins earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Tristan Jarry stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 39 and 35 shots on goal.
PIT 3.1 xG · 39 shots
BUF 2.2 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
1.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 19:01 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 16:24 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 00:27 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 18:11 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 65.
PIT 65%BUF 35%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 19:01 · GWG · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 16:24 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 00:27 · PP · 3–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 18:11 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/35 saves · 0 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.