Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 8-7-0
2–5
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 8-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
191707223
NJD
110111310531
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 8-7-0 · NJD 8-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Devils
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Penguins lost 2–5. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 23 and 31 shots on goal.
PIT 2.6 xG · 23 shots
NJD 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 06:36 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Curtis Lazar · 1st 13:34 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 03:17 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 03:55 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
5
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 02:35 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Alexander Holtz · 3rd 11:24 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 11:44 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 48.
PIT 48%NJD 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 06:36 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Curtis Lazar · 1st 13:34 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 03:17 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 03:55 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
5
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 02:35 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Alexander Holtz · 3rd 11:24 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 11:44 · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.