PIT
3–4
PHI
Final / SO · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 11-10-2
3–4
Final / SOL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 12-10-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
PIT
0318215060332
PHI
07115210011433
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 11-10-2 · PHI 12-10-2 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Flyers
The Penguins created the better chances (3.8 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout. The Penguins owned the overtime, 1.1 to 0.0 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 33 shots on goal.
PIT 3.8 xG · 32 shots
PHI 2.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.3 · 0.3
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
1.8 · 1.3
OT · the swing
1.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kris Letang · 2nd 14:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Owen Tippett · 2nd 16:47 · 1–1 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 01:50 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Scott Laughton · 3rd 07:01 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 13:52 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:39 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 66.
PIT 66%PHI 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kris Letang · 2nd 14:31 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Owen Tippett · 2nd 16:47 · 1–1
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 01:50 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Scott Laughton · 3rd 07:01 · SH · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 13:52 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:39 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Flyers
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
