PIT
4–3
MIN
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 14-13-3
4–3
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 12-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
11327110430
MIN
0828111327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 14-13-3 · MIN 12-13-4 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Wild
The Penguins earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.5, and a 4–3 win to show for it. The Penguins scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 3.7 xG · 30 shots
MIN 2.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
1.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Reilly Smith · 1st 07:39 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 00:36 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 03:34 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 15:06 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jake Middleton · 2nd 17:30 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Vinni Lettieri · 3rd 05:33 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 06:20 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 68.
PIT 68%MIN 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Reilly Smith · 1st 07:39 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 00:36 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 03:34 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 15:06 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jake Middleton · 2nd 17:30 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Vinni Lettieri · 3rd 05:33 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 06:20 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
