Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 17-13-4
4–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 18-17-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
1811626430
STL
0819110227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 17-13-4 · STL 18-17-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins beat the Blues
The Penguins earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Penguins owned the 2nd period, 2.1 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 3.7 xG · 30 shots
STL 2.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 15:32 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Robert Thomas · 2nd 01:06 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:50 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (45%)
4
Jeff Carter · 3rd 04:48 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 10:31 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 18:29 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 73.
PIT 73%STL 27%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 15:32 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Robert Thomas · 2nd 01:06 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:50 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (45%)
4
Jeff Carter · 3rd 04:48 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 10:31 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 18:29 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.