PIT
3–4
WSH
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 18-14-4
3–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 18-11-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
16216013335
WSH
4110803422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 18-14-4 · WSH 18-11-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins fell to the Capitals
The Penguins created the better chances (3.5 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
PIT 3.5 xG · 35 shots
WSH 1.7 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.7 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 00:55 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 11:16 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Martin Fehérváry · 1st 13:02 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 19:18 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Rickard Rakell · 1st 19:56 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 09:11 · 2–4 · bat shot, a great chance (37%)
7
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 18:54 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 78.
PIT 78%WSH 22%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 00:55 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 11:16 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Martin Fehérváry · 1st 13:02 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 19:18 · PP · GWG · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Rickard Rakell · 1st 19:56 · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 09:11 · PP · 2–4
Bat shot, a great chance (37%)
7
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 18:54 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
1st period
5
Erik Karlsson, Pierre-Olivier Joseph · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–4
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
4/7 saves · 3 GA · 0.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
