Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 20-15-5
3–4
Final / OTL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 28-11-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
11011011401335
VAN
390120513429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 20-15-5 · VAN 28-11-3 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Canucks
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.8 expected goals); the Penguins lost it in overtime on Pettersson's goal. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.8, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
PIT 3.1 xG · 35 shots
VAN 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
OT
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Boeser · 1st 05:44 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brock Boeser · 1st 06:31 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Marcus Pettersson · 1st 16:20 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Elias Pettersson · 1st 17:31 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 06:05 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 19:31 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Elias Pettersson · OT 03:05 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 55.
PIT 55%VAN 45%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Boeser · 1st 05:44 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brock Boeser · 1st 06:31 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Marcus Pettersson · 1st 16:20 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Elias Pettersson · 1st 17:31 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 06:05 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 19:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Elias Pettersson · OT 03:05 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
6/9 saves · 3 GA · 0.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.