Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 23-20-7
2–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 34-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
03111113227
FLA
0441217523
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–3
PIT 23-20-7 · FLA 34-15-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–3
Penguins fell to the Panthers
The Penguins created the better chances (3.4 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 23 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 27 shots
FLA 2.7 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.5
3rd
1.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 04:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jonah Gadjovich · 2nd 05:02 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 08:27 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Anton Lundell · 2nd 13:02 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Bryan Rust · 2nd 15:24 · 1–4 · deflected shot, a great chance (45%)
6
Anton Lundell · 3rd 05:35 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
John Ludvig · 3rd 06:07 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 61.
PIT 61%FLA 39%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 04:28 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jonah Gadjovich · 2nd 05:02 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 08:27 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Anton Lundell · 2nd 13:02 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Bryan Rust · 2nd 15:24 · 1–4
Deflected shot, a great chance (45%)
6
Anton Lundell · 3rd 05:35 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
John Ludvig · 3rd 06:07 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.